Monday (11/28) Morning Weather Briefing
GOOD MORNING AND HAPPY MONDAY
A cold and frosty start this morning as the sky was clear for a large part of the night. Now clouds have rolled in. A more comfortable day today despite the clouds. A breezy afternoon on the way with highs in the lower 50s.
Notice the rain off to our west this morning:
Looks ominous but it's fighting dry air across the region. Check out the low dewpoints:
As the rain pushed north and east I expect most of it to get eaten up by the dry air. A sprinkle or light shower will be possible this afternoon but the more significant rain is much more likely after 7-8pm. Hi-res futurecast:
The rain is great news for the drought-stricken Southeast. What they don't want is the severe weather but that will be a threat later today in the lower Mississippi Valley:
We'll have a soggy night tonight but tomorrow...WOW will it turn nice! We'll flirt with the record high of 66, set in 2005.
REST OF THE WEEK: BACK TO REALITY
Rain is likely to return Wednesday into Wednesday night ahead of the next cold front.
Rain totals with the 2 rounds of rain: likely to be 0.75"-1.00".
Thursday and Friday will be colder and more seasonable as we welcome in December. Plenty of clouds and a rain/snow shower around. 
LONG RANGE
December may start seasonable but a colder air mass seems likely to invade during the 2nd week of the month.
The trend on the colimate models has been colder for December when compared to what they were advertising previously. I suspect we will end up with a near-average December...perhaps slightly colder than average. Model trend:
WINTER FORECAST
My annual Winter Forecast can be watched here:https://ericwfmj.com/2016/11/03/2016-2017-winter-forecast/
WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS:
The Valley’s most detailed weather forecast is “Weather For Weather Geeks”! This evening’s video will be on ericwfmj.com and wfmj.com/weather as well as the StormTracker app by 8:00pm.
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