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Chief Meteorologist Eric Wilhelm's Blog

Weather Forecasts, Analysis, Opinion For Northeast Ohio, Western Pennsylvania From 21 News Chief Meteorologist Eric Wilhelm

Weather For Weather Geeks August 25

Weather For Weather Geeks August 24

Wednesday (8/24) Morning Weather Briefing

GOOD MORNING!

After another comfortable night, a quiet and warm day is in store for today. It will not be quite as “pristine” as Tuesday as a veil of high clouds will move overhead.

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Highs today a few degrees warmer than Tuesday.

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Dewpoints will remain in the “comfortable” zone today, mainly in the upper 50s to near 60. The soupy air returns tonight and tomorrow.

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Notice that complex of rain and thunderstorms on the radar image above? That’s associated with the leading edge of the more humid air. That is likely to head our way tonight. We may hear some thunder overnight. 1am simulated radar:

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Thursday will not be a wash out by any stretch. There should be long periods of dry weather. It’ll be hot! Thunderstorms can crop up at times. There is a low risk for strong to severe thunderstorms.

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With a few high school football games on the schedule Thursday evening, stay weather aware and be sure to have the Storm Tracker 21 weather app.

FRIDAY/WEEKEND

Friday will be a better day and we expect a beautiful evening for football. Dewpoints will come down in the wake of the front.

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Saturday is also looking like a fantastic late summer day with low dewpoints and plenty of sunshine.

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A warm front should cross the region Saturday night/Sunday and a more humid air mass will mean there is a small chance for a shower or thunderstorm.

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Hot weather will return late in the weekend into early next week. BUT it still looks like the heat will peak BEFORE the Canfield Fair/Labor Day weekend.

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2 DEGREE GUARANTEE

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WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS: 

The Valley’s most detailed weather forecast is “Weather For Weather Geeks”! This evening’s video will be on ericwfmj.com and wfmj.com/weather as well as the StormTracker app by 8:00pm.

STORM TRACKER 21 STORM SPOTTERS

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Interested in joining our closed spotter group on Facebook?? We prefer you be SKYWARN trained but some exceptions can be made. This group is a place to report severe weather or just chat about interesting weather across our region. Fill out this form if interested!

Storm Tracker 21 Spotter Sign Up Sheet

 21 STORMTRACKER WEATHER APP

Head to your favorite app store and get the Valley’s most accurate forecast in your pocket!

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CONNECT: 

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Weather For Weather Geeks August 23

Tuesday (8/23) Morning Weather Briefing

Good morning!

And what a morning it is! A sensational summer morning with nothing but sunshine and low humidity. This afternoon will be warmer than yesterday but overall today is a fantastic summer day.

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MIDWEEK WARM UP CONTINUES

We’ll see the heat crank up Wednesday into Thursday. A dewpoint jump will occur by Thursday morning, making it feel like mid-summer again. While Wednesday looks dry, Thursday will feature spotty showers and thunderstorms.

 

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With the increase in moisture will come an increase ion atmospheric instability Thursday. There is a “marginal” risk for severe weather, per the Storm Prediction Center outlook.

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The steamy air will be pushed away just in time for the weekend and we look to dry out Friday. Saturday looks great!

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If we get wet over the weekend, it would be on Sunday.

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LONG RANGE

The Canfield Fair/Labor Day weekend is now close enough for us to start picking out trends for that weekend. It looks like it will get hot again early next week but will the heat be trimmed by late in the week and the weekend? Looks that way.

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The weekend may feature cool weather in the Northeast and the West Coast, high heat in the middle of the country and “typical” early September weather here. If the current information proves correct. Much can change between now and then so stay tuned.

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WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS: 

The Valley’s most detailed weather forecast is “Weather For Weather Geeks”! This evening’s video will be on ericwfmj.com and wfmj.com/weather as well as the StormTracker app by 8:00pm.

STORM TRACKER 21 STORM SPOTTERS

11021107_10205970895171992_1097600459631042738_n.jpg

Interested in joining our closed spotter group on Facebook?? We prefer you be SKYWARN trained but some exceptions can be made. This group is a place to report severe weather or just chat about interesting weather across our region. Fill out this form if interested!

Storm Tracker 21 Spotter Sign Up Sheet

 21 STORMTRACKER WEATHER APP

Head to your favorite app store and get the Valley’s most accurate forecast in your pocket!

ezgif.com-video-to-gif

CONNECT: 

Facebook

Twitter

Instagram

YouTube

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Weather For Weather Geeks August 18

Weather For Weather Geeks August 17

Weather For Weather Geeks August 16

Blog: Severe Weather Possibilities Today

Good morning!

We are going to just focus on today’s weather in this morning’s post. We have the chance for severe weather this afternoon and early this evening. So let’s walk through the details.

SETUP

Obviously a moist, humid air mass is overhead this morning with dewpoint temperatures in the upper 60s and lower 70s.

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A cold front, albeit a very weak one, is slowly pushing east into this juicy air.

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We also have some sunshine this morning, helping to make the air mass warm and a little more unstable. Temperatures should rise into the mid 80s today.

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Additionally, we have a decent wind field in the lower levels of the atmosphere today. Winds 5,000 feet up will be around 40-60 mph this afternoon.

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This is good and bad news. Good because storms that do fire will move along and not just park over one spot. Bad because storms can also “pull down” some of this wind energy in downdrafts and that raises the risk for damaging wind gusts.

So, pretty decent setup. That’s why the Storm Prediction Center has the region in the “Slight” risk for severe weather.

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TIMING/IMPACTS

I think the “window” for strong to severe storms is in the mid and late afternoon hours.

15 hour futurecast showing what the radar, generally, should look like:

 

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Damaging winds will, easily, be the #1 threat. Hail is possible, but severe hail (1″ or larger)? Pretty unlikely.

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Notice the very low tornado threat. Very low but not ZERO. There is a little twisting shown in some of the modeling this afternoon. The SPC has a 2% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of any spot.

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STAY WEATHER AWARE

On any day that severe weather threatens, make sure you have at least 2 ways to get warnings. The Storm Tracker 21 app can alert you and you can track storms on the Interactive Radar.

I will stream live on my Facebook Page if the situation warrants.

Keep in mind that, unless a Tornado Warning is issued, we will not cover up Olympics coverage on TV with the map and the crawl (except during breaks). So social media/internet/mobile will be the best way to stay up to date.

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