Tuesday (10/18) Morning Weather Briefing

GOOD MORNING!

Feels like summer out there this morning as overnight temperatures only dropped into the mid 60s. We are firmly situated in the warm sector of a system that is still well off to our west.Click to EnlargeTemperatures will race into the lower 80s this afternoon. Today's record high of 84 is safe but wow 21 degrees above average today.Click to EnlargeNotice on the map above the the isobars or lines of equal pressure are packed pretty tightly. We can expect a gusty breeze today. Some gusts can reach 25-30 mph.Click to EnlargeThe first of 2 cold front will track our way tonight. The first one will be pretty weak and will bring spotty showers after sunset this evening. Although it will cloud up toward dinner time, you will have no trouble with raindrops during the daylight hours today. Simulated radar:Click to Enlarge

CHANGES ARE A' COMIN'

Wednesday will be a pretty nice day with some intervals of sunshine. It won't be quite as warm but still well above average!Click to EnlargeThen things go downhill. As a sluggish system moves east, rain will become likely Wednesday night into Thursday. There may even be a thunderstorm Thursday, especially south of 224.Click to EnlargeTricky temperature forecast Thursday as it could be a day where the airport is stuck around 60 but southern Columbiana County is closer to 70.Rain totals through Thursday night can reach an inch and more is on the way for Friday.Click to EnlargePlan on a MUCH cooler day Friday with showers and a chilly, gusty breeze.Click to EnlargeThe weekend will start out chilly and cloudy with spotty showers. Temperatures not much better than 50 Saturday.Click to EnlargeThere's blue on that map! Yes it's possible that the higher terrain (say above 1500') in west-central PA could see some snowflakes Saturday. Nothing unusual for October 22.

LONG RANGE

A much more typical late October pattern will settle in for next week with lots of days with highs near average. Models:kyng_2016101800_eps_min_max_15 kyng_2016101800_min_max_16

2 DEGREE GUARANTEE

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WINTER FORECAST

We are about TWO weeks away from the issuance of my Winter 2016-2017 forecast. Stay tuned for an exact date!

WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS: 

The Valley’s most detailed weather forecast is “Weather For Weather Geeks”! This evening’s video will be on ericwfmj.com and wfmj.com/weather as well as the StormTracker app by 8:00pm.

STORM TRACKER 21 STORM SPOTTERS

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