Monday (10/17) Morning Weather Briefing

I'M BACK!

After a week away I am back in the swing of things this morning. After a BALMY weekend, we'll be busting out the shorts again today. Last night's rain is pushing away:Click to EnlargeVisible satellite pics are tough to come by this early in the day at this time of the year because of the late sunrises, but the cloud shot at around 8:30 showed the clouds thinning out to our west.Click to EnlargeHi-res modeling shows a generally sunny sky by this afternoon:Click to EnlargeTemperatures today will be nearly TWENTY degrees above average. A record? Nope, today's record high is 83, set in 1938.Click to Enlarge

SUMMER CONTINUES TUESDAY

Tuesday looks even warmer(!). Tuesday's record is 84 set in 1938 and we will make a run at it. A gusty southwest breeze and some sunshine will accompany the amazing warmth.Click to EnlargeClick to Enlarge

GETTING BACK TO NORMAL

A cold front will cross the region Tuesday night and there may be some showers along it. In the wake of the front, Wednesday will be ONLY 10 degrees above average instead of 20-25.Click to EnlargeThe more significant front will slog through on Thursday into Thursday night and a few rounds of rain are likely. There may be thunder too.Click to EnlargeThere is some question as to how long the chance for rain will linger into Friday; I suspect the highest chance will be early in the day. It will feel more like Autumn either way with highs in the upper 50s to 60.Click to EnlargeWe expect the weekend to be fairly uneventful although a passing shower will be a possibility. Temperatures near average with highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s.Click to Enlarge

LONG RANGE

Expecting a less amplified pattern in the medium and long range, which means lower chances for crazy warmth (or unusual cold). The Climate Prediction Center does have decent odds for an above-average period in the 8-14 day range.814temp-new

WINTER FORECAST

We are about TWO weeks away from the issuance of my Winter 2016-2017 forecast. Stay tuned for an exact date! 

WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS: 

The Valley’s most detailed weather forecast is “Weather For Weather Geeks”! This evening’s video will be on ericwfmj.com and wfmj.com/weather as well as the StormTracker app by 8:00pm.

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