Thursday (8/11) Morning Weather Briefing

GOOD MORNING!

Well as of this writing it is 83 degrees with a dewpoint of 77 at my house. I don't remember moving to Key West.Another oppressive day today and even though this morning has featured some sunshine, I am expecting another active afternoon with showers and thunderstorms roaming around.15 hour futurecast:Click To EnlargeMuch like yesterday, localized flooding problems will be a concern as these storms will be fairly slow-movers. Some places could pick up a quick couple of inches of rain. These can also be prolific lightning producers.Otherwise, the HEAT is the story. Temperatures will climb into the upper 80s today and with dewpoints this high, the heat index can reach the upper 90s when it is not cloudy/raining.Click To EnlargeClick To EnlargeFriday will be fairly similar, in fact it may be a degree or two HOTTER. Also a breezier day....that will help move spotty afternoon storms along a little faster. The tradeoff? The risk of severe weather (hail/damaging winds) is somewhat higher. The Storm Prediction Center has a "marginal" risk area fairly close to us.Click To Enlargeunderstanding_categoriesThis will be close to Heat Advisory criteria for our region. NWS typically issues a Heat Advisory with heat index values are at or above 100.Click To Enlarge

THE WEEKEND

A cold front will hit the brakes as it moves over Ohio this weekend and the result will be an "unsettled" weekend. I don't think it rains every hour Saturday and Sunday, but it can rain anytime. With the steering winds parallel to the front, we could get some "training" of showers and storms, leading to possible flooding issues.Click To EnlargeClick To EnlargeKeeping in mind that places can get a couple of inches of rain in ONE thunderstorm, a GENERAL couple/few inches of rain is likely through Sunday night/Monday. Drought-denting for sure.Click To Enlarge

LONG RANGE

A more seasonable pattern next week and there are signs of a pretty comfortable stretch in the 8-14 day period.Click To Enlarge  

2 DEGREE GUARANTEE

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