MONDAY (7/11) MORNING WEATHER BRIEFING
GOOD MORNING!
Hope your weekend was excellent. The weather sure was! We had a nice comfortable start to the day today but that's the last time we will say that for a while. The next couple of weeks will be pretty consistently very warm/hot. The heart of summer!A sunny one today with a warmer afternoon; highs in the mid 80s. Dewpoints stay fairly low for one more day so the humidity will not be a real issue today.
MIDWEEK HEAT!
Temperatures will flirt with 90 degrees both Tuesday and Wednesday with an uptick in the dewpoints as well. By Wednesday afternoon heat index values will be in the lower 90s. There is a small chance for an afternoon thunderstorm Wednesday.
UNSETTLED AT THE END OF WEEK
A sluggish cold front will limp east Thursday into Friday and that means a couple of unsettled days for eastern Ohio and western PA. A few round of showers and storms each day. Any storm could be on the strong side, especially Thursday.
BRING ON THE RAIN
No secret....we need rain. It's been quite dry since early May. 60 day precipitation departures from average:
At most official climate sites across the region rain totals have been 50-75% of average over the last 60 days and of course in some locations the deficits are even larger.Over the next 10 days, I DO think we will see more frequent rains but how much is a tough call. The GFS suggests 1.5"-2" will be a good average:
The European model is more stingy with 1" or so":
LONG RANGE
The pattern in the 7-14 day period looks very hot in the middle of the country. The Valley will reside on the "edge" of this heat dome...meaning we won't see temperatures in the upper 90s or anything but some 90-95 degree days will be possible. This pattern will also produce clusters of storms on the northern periphery of the ridge and these will tend to track SE. "Ridge runners" is what we call these sometimes. It means chances for rain but also severe weather for us.
WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS:
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