TUESDAY WEATHER BRIEFING
GOOD MORNING!
We had some nice, house-shaking boomers last evening and they were accompanied by some heavy rain. A sampling of rain totals:
Pretty close to halfway through the month. Just about the ENTIRE nation has been warm.
Amazing.On to today. Tough forecast today as our temperatures will depend greatly on whether or not the clouds thin this afternoon. Currently we have a deck of low stratus clouds around with spotty drizzle.
Short range hi-res models are NOT optimistic that these clouds break today.
Therefore, the model keeps temperatures in the lower 50s all day.
Hmmmmm. We will almost surely have to adjust our official high of 62 down into the 50s.Severe weather will become a concern late today and tonight for areas to our west. A "slight" risk has been issued from northwest Ohio to eastern Iowa:
Not concerned about severe weather around here. A couple of showers can roll through late tonight and tomorrow morning along a weak frontal boundary.
With some afternoon clearing and a gusty wind, temperatures should return to the 60s tomorrow.
LATE-WEEK CHANGES
The warm pattern will finally come to an end, at least for a while. An approaching front can bring a couple of showers Thursday into Friday and cooler, more seasonable air will follow.
The GFS model shows some snowflakes Friday, not buying that...but it will certainly be cooler with temperatures in the 40s.
THE WEEKEND
Saturday looks tranquil and cool.
I suspect Sunday is cloudier and there might even be a wet snow shower around. Not confident about that at this point.
LONG RANGE
Milder air will get back into the pattern later next week and the month should end with more mild weather.
2 DEGREE GUARENTEE
Nice little run going....holding around 66% accuracy for the year so far. We can do better.
WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS:
The Valley’s most detailed weather forecast is “Weather For Weather Geeks”! This evening's video will be a busy one with all the ups and downs that are on the way over the next week or so. Weather For Weather Geeks will be on ericwfmj.com and wfmj.com/weather as well as the StormTracker app by 8:00pm.
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