MONDAY WEATHER BRIEFING
GOOD MORNING!
I am back after some time off and it looks like the weather will keep me on my toes over the next week.We are almost halfway through March and of course it has been warm. Here is how this March compares to recent Marches:
2012 and 2010 ended up warmer than this month (so far).2000 was also balmy.Rain has been pestering us since yesterday morning. Here is a sampling of totals:
What about today? Well I do not think it will do much during the daylight hours as we will be in between systems most of the day. The blob of showers to our southwest is what is likely to track our way this evening.
That is associated with a lobe of "vorticity" or spin in the atmosphere at around 18,000 feet. Spin at that level promotes rising air, clouds and precipitation.
Here's the simulated radar off the HRRR model, showing showers returning this evening:
While we can't rule out some evening thunder here, it's a low chance. Higher risk of thunder and lightning in southeast Ohio...where there also exists a small chance for severe weather:
Mild again today with highs in the lower and middle 60s.
MIDWEEK: FINALE OF WARM PATTERN (FOR NOW)
On Tuesday, we expect a little damp weather to start but most of Election Day will be dry with a cloudy to partly sunny sky. Still mild.
Tomorrow night may be quite active out toward Chicago/Indianapolis with a chance for severe weather. Those storms are likely to weaken considerably coming east and I am not concerned about severe weather here. Maybe a rumble of thunder tomorrow night.
Wednesday will feature a weak frontal passage; might be a shower or two in the morning with that. Another nice, mild day with highs in the 60s.
The cold front that will put an end to the unusual warmth will approach Thursday and showers may break out before the day is through. It will be the last warm day for a while.
BACK TO "NORMAL"
Friday and the weekend will be much more typical of mid-March. Highs mainly in the 40s behind the cold front.
We MIGHT see a few snowflakes by the end of the weekend. Stay tuned on that.The 5-10 period is likely to be near or somewhat below average. A warm up should follow this stretch.
WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS:
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