MONDAY WEATHER BRIEFING

(click images to enlarge)Good morning!What a week this will be! Temperatures WAY above average for early November and plenty of sunshine through Thursday.Highs today:We have a good shot at 70 tomorrow through Thursday. How unusual are 70s in November, you ask? Pretty unusual! Since 1930, just 3.4% of November days featured a high of 70 or above in Youngstown. We have not had a 70+ day in November since 2009! This in interesting since 2009-2010 was a winter that featured a moderate El Nino.Why so mild? The jet stream has buckled, with a big trough out west and a big ridge popping up in the East.With this year's strong El Nino, we can expect patterns like this to happen with more frequency  this winter. Remember our Winter Forecast is a mild one.Also mild: Our November forecast.The warm weather will get pushed away by a cold font at the end of the week and we expect a windy, showery day Friday. Might even be some thunder.LONG RANGE: After a cooler weekend, temperatures should spring back up to near or above average levels early next week. I suspect the numbers on this model on days 10-16 are probably too cool.