MONDAY WEATHER BRIEFING

(Click images to enlarge)Good morning!Breaking news! It rained last night and will rain some more this week!Some places picked up a tenth of an inch or so last night:Expect a few more bouts of light rain or drizzle today, especially through midday. 15 hour futurecast:Highs today will be on the mild side.TUESDAY: A cold front will slide into the region and there can be showers just about anytime. Outside chance for thunder as well. It will also be the last warmer-than-average day of the week.WEDNESDAY: This is where the forecast starts to get tricky. The GFS (shown below) would have you believe the front will be a "clean sweep", pushing east of the region and taking the rain away. The European, NAM and Canadian models form a wave of low pressure on the front earlier, slowing it down and keeping the moisture around for much of Wednesday....especially south and east of Youngstown.I lean in the slower direction and think we might need to allow for a little rain Wednesday.REST OF THE WEEK/WEEKEND: Confidence is lower than average for this time frame as the models are all over the place. On the table:1) A dry period Thursday through Sunday.2) Lingering showers Thursday and Friday....perhaps into Saturday morning.3) High temperatures that could range from 55-65, depending on if the clouds and moisture linger. Stay tuned.LONG RANGE: A cool-ish pattern looks to settle in but these temperatures are actually pretty close to average for the first half of October.