FRIDAY WEATHER BRIEFING

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(Click images to enlarge)Good morning and TGIF.....Sensational weather today through the weekend with a big dome of high pressure in control. This morning's surface map:NOWHighs today in the mid 70s with very low dewpoints. Just about perfect in my book.highstodayThe weekend will feature a warmup as we get near 80 Saturday and a few higher than that Sunday. The next chance for rain will be Sunday night and first thing Monday morning.NEXT WEEK: A very dry and pleasant stretch of weather will unfold for the final week of August. For those starting school, this will be perfect. The middle of the week will be a real mid-September preview with highs only in the lower 70s. The upper pattern will look much like the winter did with a big trough over SE Canada and the Great Lakes and a big ridge out west.500Summer is not over though; warmer air will come back at the very end of the month and into early September. 16 day temperatures off the GFS ensemble model:KYNG_2015082100_min_max_16It will be a great pattern but we need more rain. Rain totals over the next 10 days are likely to be 0.10" or less! And all that may come Sunday night. There probably will not be a drop after that through next weekend.GFSRAINNot good since we are now in the "abnormally dry" category on the latest drought monitor.droughtHave a great weekend!

THURSDAY WEATHER BRIEFING

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(Click images to enlarge)Good morning,Cold front is on our doorstep this morning and the air behind will feel a lot different. Conditions at 8:25am:noqShowers will be around through 1-2 pm and there may be a few thunderstorms to be found as well. 15 hour futurecast :hrrr_2015082010_ref_clevelandLook at that dry air coming in later today...will feel great.output_WBiAePThunderstorm chances will be highest to the east and there is an outside chance of severe weather east of I-79.day1FRIDAY AND WEEKEND: Perfection! Highs in 70s to 80 or so with low humidity. Can be some clouds on Friday but lots of sunshine for the weekend. Enjoy.MONDAY: Next front might bring a shower or storm, mainly in the morning.LONG RANGE: Comfortable and dry for the middle of next week. Pattern favors warmer weather for the end of next week through at least the end of the month and perhaps early September.

WEDNESDAY WEATHER BRIEFING

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(Click images to enlarge)Good morning! The weather map across the eastern 2/3 of the country is dominated by a strong area of low pressure in the Upper Midwest, with a cold front trailing south of it:NOWThat is the cold front that will arrive here tomorrow. As for TODAY, it's going to be pretty stifling. Highs around 87 degrees with dewpoints in the upper 60s means the Heat Index will be 90 or so this afternoon:HIThere is not much of a "trigger" for thunderstorms in eastern Ohio and western PA today so activity will be pretty sparse this afternoon. Only a 20-30% chance that your backyard sees raindrops.6pmSevere weather is very unlikely here but there can be some strong to severe storms to our west and northwest:DAY1THURSDAY: The cold front will come through at an unfavorable time of day for strong storms but there can certainly be some tropical downpours in spots. Highest risk for rain will be from mid-morning through early afternoon.1PTHURSDewpoints will stay elevated until late afternoon, when they will start dropping.....leading to a pleasant evening and much more comfortable weather overnight.FRIDAY/WEEKEND: Just about perfect of you have outdoor plans. Sunshine, some fair-weather clouds and a distinct lack of humidity. The nights will be comfortable as well. Enjoy!LONG RANGE: A cool front is likely to arrive Monday but will not produce much rain. Behind that front, another cooler air mass will be here for a couple of days. Then, the pattern will favor above-average temperatures for the rest of the month and probably into Labor Day weekend.KYNG_2015081900_min_max_16

TUESDAY WEATHER BRIEFING AUGUST 18

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(Click pictures to enlarge)Good morning! I back at it after a 3 day weekend. Woke up to the sound of thunder for the first time in....who knows how long. Of course, I could have stayed in bed and relaxed to the sound of raindrops but no, of course I sprang out of bed to check the radar and make sure we were not getting severe weather. Ah the life of a meteorologist.The blob of rain brought some beneficial water to many lawns. Had about 1/3" at my house in Boardman. Radar at 8:15am:DMARadarWhat about the rest of today? As this disturbance moves away, we will get back into the some sunshine and it will be warm and quite humid.NOWThere might be a pop-up shower or storm this afternoon and evening but the coverage will be pretty small. 4pm simulated radar:4pWEDNESDAY: Will feel like on Orlando afternoon with highs in the mid 80s and dewpoints near 70. Thunderstorm chances will be pretty small, probably 20-30%. Heat Index 90 or so:gfs_hindex_cleveland_7Cold front will approach Wednesday night. Ahead of it, there is a marginal risk for severe weather (mainly during day Wednesday) in much of western and central Ohio:DAY2THURSDAY: Cold front will roll through and showers and thunderstorms are likely....perhaps mostly in the morning. Timing does not look favorable for stronger storms but if things get going slower we may have to worry about strong/severe storms, mainly in western PA.FRIDAY/WEEKEND: The front will be a "clean sweep", in other words a distinct air mass change will occur behind it. MUCH less humid Friday and over the weekend. Sprawling high pressure will bring sunshine. Should be a great weekend! Warm Sunday.gfs_ptype_slp_ma_14

FRIDAY WEATHER BRIEFING AUGUST 14

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TGIF! Yesterday was a seasonable day with a high of 79 and today looks warmer. Highs between 83-85 today with sunshine and some fair-weather clouds. Dewpoints will be near 60 much of the day so it will not be excessively humid.TONIGHT/SATURDAY: A cold front will sputter into the Valley and basically just wash out (cease to become a boundary between 2 air masses). Still, it might bring a shower or storm to a fraction of the area overnight and during the day Saturday. Saturday will be farrrr from a washout though...overall a classic August day. Dewpoints come up into the mid 60s.ndfd_t2max_cleveland_2nam8aSUNDAY AND MONDAY: HOT!! Find a pool and/or air conditioning. Highs will be in the upper 80s to, in some spots, 90. Sunday will be a dry and mostly sunny day...there is a small chance for an afternoon and evening storm Monday.LONG RANGE: The last two weeks of August may feature the longest stretch of sustained heat of the summer. Lots of highs between 83-88 degrees and maybe a few 90 degree days.

WEATHER BRIEFING THURSDAY AUGUST 13

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TODAY: Sensational weather today as high pressure drifts across. Low dewpoints and seasonable temperatures.nowPERSEID METEOR SHOWER:The peak was last night but with a clear sky tonight you will be able to see some again. Find a dark spot and give your eyes time to adjust. Best viewing will be after midnight.pFRIDAY: Another nice day with temperatures warming into the 80s. If a shower or storm occurs it would be late in the day, toward sunset. Higher chance of rain overnight as a front stalls over northern Ohio and PA.WEEKEND: Mid 80s Saturday with a small chance for a shower or storm. Most of the day will be rain-free. Humidity creeping up. Sunday will be a hot and dry one with highs near 90 and sunshine. Find a pool!EARLY NEXT WEEK: Hot again Monday; upper 80s for highs. Next front could bring storms Tuesday. Could be strong storms if the timing is right.LONG RANGE: Warmer than average pattern seems likely through the end of the month and maybe early September. GFS 8-16 day outlook:816

Wednesday Weather Briefing

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Click images to enlarge.PERSEID METEOR SHOWER: Shower reaches it's peak tonight and our weather will be pretty good for viewing. Not 100% clear but not much more than some thin high clouds. Simulated satellite at 2am:hires_btop_cleveland_25See THIS POST for all you need to know!TODAY'S WEATHER: A taste of September today with low humidity and a breeze. Highs in lower and mid 70s. The most consistantly sunny part of the day will be late-afternoon and evening.highsUpper trough will lift out tonight, leading to a mainly clear and comfy night tonight.500THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Warming back up quickly (mid 80s by Friday). Sunny and dry Thursday but there might be a late-day shower or storm on Friday.WEEKEND: Front will stall over the Valley Saturday and while the day will not be a washout, a shower or thunderstorm could occur at any point. Will be warm and humid with highs in the 80s.Sunday will be the nice half of the weekend but get ready for some heat! Flirting with 90 Sunday and early next week.Lots of very warm weather coming over the next couple of weeks:KYNG_2015081200_min_max_16

BLOG: Perseid Meteor Shower Peaks This Week

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The Perseid meteor shower actually began back on July 13th but it is at it's peak this week, specifically Wednesday night. A meteor shower occurs when the Earth travels through the debris trail of a comet, The comet associated with the Perseids is Comet Swift-Tuttle.(Click images to enlarge)w704WHERE DO I LOOK? The "radiant", or where the meteors originate, is the constellation Perseus, in the northeast sky. If you are a photographer, often the best shots can be gotten by setting up your shots just left or right of the radiant. Although the radiant is in the northeast sky, you can see meteors anywhere in the sky.metshowerWHEN?Perseus rises around midnight and gets higher in the sky throughout the night so, the later the better...say 3-5:30am. I know, those are not the best hours to be awake and functioning!WHY THIS ONE IS GREATThis is one of the two best showers of any year (the other is in December) and this year's Perseids are even better because the Moon is almost new so the sky is especially dark. In the darkest spots in the countryside you may see as many as 100 per hour.KNOWLEDGE YOU CAN USE TO IMPRESS YOUR FRIENDS AND MEET GUYS/GIRLS AT PARTIES: The difference between meteors, meteorite and meteoroids:Meteor: The actual flash of light you see as the debris burning up as it descends through  the Earth's atmosphere.Meteoroid: The debris itself, which can be as small as a grain of salt or as large as a boulder.Meteorite: Any part of the meteoroid that survives the inferno of the trip through the atmosphere and lands on the planet's surface.A nice video from NASA:NASA VIDEOThanks for reading,Eric

Tuesday Weather Briefing: A Taste of Fall Then a Warm Up

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Good morning all,Last night's storms are history but they dropped 1-2" or so of rain in parts of Mercer and Trumbull counties. South of 224, people are saying "WHAT RAIN??" as most areas had little or no rain. A shame given how brown everyone's yards are. THis morning, we have muggy conditions and some intervals of sunshine:nowHighs will be in the mid 70s today. A sprinkle or 5 minute shower cannot be ruled out but it's like a 20% chance kind of thing.TASTE OF FALL:Wednesday will feel like late September with clouds, sunny breaks and a cool breeze. Highs only 72-75. There once again could be a passing sprinkle or shower. The air will be drier as well as the lower dewpoints over the Upper Midwest now head our way:dewTHURSDAY/FRIDAY:A couple of nice days coming at the end of the week. Sunshine and temperatures getting back to where we expect them to be in mid August.FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING:A dying cold front will sputter through Ohio and PA and could bring a scattering of showers and storms. Hopeful that these are gone by Saturday afternoon and the rest of the weekend should be dry, warm and pleasant.LONG RANGE:Warmer air is on the way with upper 80s possible Sunday into early next week. Turning more humid as well. Summer is a long way from over.KYNG_2015081100_min_max_16PERSEID METEOR SHOWER:Will do a separate Blog post on this tonight or tomorrow but clouds will probably inhibit our view tonight. Much better viewing Wednesday night with a mostly clear sky which is great because that's when the shower peaks. Nearly new moon means it will be good and dark. Can see 5-100 meteors per hour if you are in a dark enough spot.