Severe Weather Threat Tuesday+Return Of Summer By Weekend

LOOKING FOR AUTUMN LIKE……

We’ve had some cool days here and there so far this season but REAL Autumn is nowhere to be seen. As I am sure you’ve noticed, foliage is way behind. See this post from last week for some of the science behind how weather impacts foliage.

TUESDAY’S THUNDERSTORM THREAT

Another warm day is on the way Tuesday and it will be more humid as well. Meanwhile, a cold front will push into the region during the afternoon. It’s not the strongest front in the world but it’ll be strong enough to trigger some showers and thunderstorms. Here’s a high-resolution model depiction of the radar over the next 24 hours or so.

The main threat appears to be between 4pm-8pm. Any storm will be capable of producing strong winds and hail.

VERY WARM WEEKEND AHEAD

By the weekend, a very strong ridge of high pressure will park over the East. In July, this kind of pattern produces highs in the mid 90s here. It’s October so temperatures will climb into the 80s. Highs will be almost 20 degrees above average by Monday and Tuesday.

When does the pattern break down? Maybe not until mid-month.

WE DID THIS JUST LAST YEAR

The first half of October 2017 was also very warm with lots of highs in the 70s and 80s.