Blog: Rain Then Accumulating Wet Snow

Early April can be a real “up and down” time for our region weatherwise. Wild temperature swings and different modes of precipitation are not uncommon.

With that in mind, buckle up! We are going to see a few different seasons between now and early next week.

RAINY NIGHT, RAW AND WET THURSDAY

A storm system continues to chug east through the Midwest this morning. It’s already producing severe weather in the Southeast and it will be a very, very busy day and night for forecasters in this region.

Click to Enlarge

The severe weather risk is quite high from roughly the Ohio River to the Gulf Coast and over to parts of the Carolinas today into tonight.

Click to Enlarge
Click to Enlarge

It will not take much to get storms to rotate today, especially later on.

Click to Enlarge

Notice that the Valley is not in one of the higher risk categories. While there may be thunder here tonight, the ingredients for severe weather will thankfully not come together around here.  18 hour hi-res futurecast shows how things should evolve through midnight or so:

Click to Enlarge

Rain will continue for much of Thursday. Temperatures will fall and the breeze will make it feel even colder. A good day for a nap.

Click to Enlarge

Rainfall totals of up to 1 inch are quite possible.

Click to Enlarge

Rivers and streams are running high and we may see “the usual suspects” go above flood stage by Friday. Mahoning River at Leavittsburg, Eagle Creek in SW Trumbull County included. Current forecast does not show that but I suspect that will change.

Click to Enlarge

THE STORY WITH THE SNOW

This system will deepen and slow down and this process will help it to “manufacture” it’s own cold air. It will be cold enough for wet snow to start falling late Thursday night and throughout Friday. 

The IMPACTS from this snow will not be very high because of the warm ground and marginal air temperatures. Roads should be largely fine. But non-paved surfaces can pick up accumulation. Decks, car tops and of course the grass can all get covered fairly easily.

The highest impact for travelers will be reductions in visibility.
Click to Enlarge

Snow accumulation on non-paved surfaces could be fairly impressive. Here’s our current model spread:

Click to Enlarge

The odds of 1″ or more look pretty high. European model odds:

Click to Enlarge

3″ or more:

I suspect we’ll come out with a forecast of something like 1-3″ of wet snow later today. Stay tuned. 

Thankfully the there is not much leafage on the trees just yet or we’d be more concerned with power outages as a result of sagging tree limbs. The gusty wind should also help keep the trees and power lines “cleaner” than if it were calm.

Unusual for early April? Not really.

Click to Enlarge

Boy will it melt in a hurry! Muddy yards galore this weekend…otherwise, very nice weekend coming up.

Click to Enlarge
Advertisements

3 thoughts on “Blog: Rain Then Accumulating Wet Snow

  1. I love this site!!! Great job!! I love your wearther for weathr geeks videos They are awesome! Thanks you do a great job! I can not belive we are getting snow lol Your a awesome weather man!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s