Tuesday (1/24) Morning Weather Briefing

GOOD TUESDAY MORNING….

A cold rain to start our Tuesday in many places and a few wet snowflakes have tried to mix in as well. Radar as of 8:30 or so:

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Temperatures will struggle today yet it will still be ABOVE average with highs in the upper 30s to about 40. 15 hour futurecast shows a drying trend by midday but I suspect spotty light rain/drizzle will return by this evening.

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The mild air will return for a one-day encore performance Wednesday with highs eclipsing the 50 degree mark:

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Spotty rain showers will be around in the afternoon and evening along and ahead of a cold front.

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WINTER!

Winter’s return starts Thursday. It’s not going to be the kind of pattern that produces uber cold by any stretch but it will finally feel like “normal” for a while. Snow showers and gusty winds Thursday; might be some small accumulations on non-paved surfaces but roads will be wet with temperatures in the mid 30s and a warm ground.

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Friday through the weekend will be colder than Thursday with gusty winds and occasional snow showers and flurries. The “nickel and dime” effect may lead to a total accumulation of a few inches, mainly north of I-80 by the end of the weekend.

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Wind chills will be mainly in the teens each afternoon.

LONG RANGE

No signs of harsh arctic cold in the longer range. The jet stream by the weekend and early next week has a cold look to it with a “cross polar flow” setting up.

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BUT the source region of our air mass won’t be crazy cold so this is not the kind of thing that will lead to way below-average temperatures for us. Pretty “standard” winter cold.

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FEBRUARY THOUGHTS

We are a week away from the end of the month and it’s time to get serious about the February forecast. The models continue to show the core of the cold staying out west in February. I suspect February will be colder than January but perhaps still warmer-than-average by some degree. More chances for snow compared to January but lots of “slop” storms too (storms that bring mixed precip).

We’ll put out an “official” forecast late this week or early next week.

 

WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS: 

The Valley’s most detailed weather forecast is “Weather For Weather Geeks”! This evening’s video will be on ericwfmj.com and wfmj.com/weather as well as the StormTracker app by 8:00pm.

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