Wednesday (10/19) Morning Weather Briefing

GOOD MORNING…..

As expected we had some showers overnight. A little appetizer with the main course coming later tonight through Friday. Some local rain totals:

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A nice one today with a good deal of afternoon sunshine. Temperatures remain on the mild side for the middle of Autumn.

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Clouds will increase this evening. A wave of low pressure along an old front will move northeast and the result will be a period of rain later tonight into tomorrow morning. Tomorrow’s forecast is a bit tricky as there could be substantial differences in the “flavor” of the day across our viewing area. I suspect a “dry slot” will move into the region during midday Thursday, allowing the rain to taper off and even end for a while. Temperatures can warm wherever the dry slot is. The most likely places for this will be south and east of Youngstown. So there may be a few hours where it’s pretty decent outside with temperatures warming close to 70 in the East Liverpool area while Newton Falls, Kinsman, etc are stuck in clouds and the upper 50s.

Where the dry slot opens up there might be a spotty thunderstorm or two that develops in the more unstable air. The Storm Prediction Center actually has a “marginal” risk for severe weather as far north as about Rt 30:

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Either way, everyone will get wet again as we go toward evening. Thursday evening weather map:

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The rain will continue Thursday night into Friday. Showers may become less numerous around football time but plan on bringing the poncho anyway.

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Rain totals through Friday can be around 2 inches on average. NWS forecast:

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Computer models:

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Need to rake? Take care of it today if you can!

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WEEKEND OUTLOOK

Saturday will be November-ish with clouds, spotty showers and a cold, gusty wind. Still think there might be snowflakes seen in the higher terrain to our east. Highs Saturday near 50; it will feel colder.

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Sunday looks sunnier and more seasonable with highs in the upper 50s.

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LONG RANGE

Fairly typical late October pattern next week.

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6-10 day outlook:

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2 DEGREE GUARANTEE

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WINTER FORECAST

We are about TWO weeks away from the issuance of my Winter 2016-2017 forecast. Stay tuned for an exact date!

WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS: 

The Valley’s most detailed weather forecast is “Weather For Weather Geeks”! This evening’s video will be on ericwfmj.com and wfmj.com/weather as well as the StormTracker app by 8:00pm.

STORM TRACKER 21 STORM SPOTTERS

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Interested in joining our closed spotter group on Facebook?? We prefer you be SKYWARN trained but some exceptions can be made. This group is a place to report severe weather or just chat about interesting weather across our region. Fill out this form if interested!

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 21 STORMTRACKER WEATHER APP

Head to your favorite app store and get the Valley’s most accurate forecast in your pocket!

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