Feels like summer out there this morning as overnight temperatures only dropped into the mid 60s. We are firmly situated in the warm sector of a system that is still well off to our west.
Temperatures will race into the lower 80s this afternoon. Today’s record high of 84 is safe but wow 21 degrees above average today.
Notice on the map above the the isobars or lines of equal pressure are packed pretty tightly. We can expect a gusty breeze today. Some gusts can reach 25-30 mph.
The first of 2 cold front will track our way tonight. The first one will be pretty weak and will bring spotty showers after sunset this evening. Although it will cloud up toward dinner time, you will have no trouble with raindrops during the daylight hours today. Simulated radar:
CHANGES ARE A’ COMIN’
Wednesday will be a pretty nice day with some intervals of sunshine. It won’t be quite as warm but still well above average!
Then things go downhill. As a sluggish system moves east, rain will become likely Wednesday night into Thursday. There may even be a thunderstorm Thursday, especially south of 224.
Tricky temperature forecast Thursday as it could be a day where the airport is stuck around 60 but southern Columbiana County is closer to 70.
Rain totals through Thursday night can reach an inch and more is on the way for Friday.
Plan on a MUCH cooler day Friday with showers and a chilly, gusty breeze.
The weekend will start out chilly and cloudy with spotty showers. Temperatures not much better than 50 Saturday.
There’s blue on that map! Yes it’s possible that the higher terrain (say above 1500′) in west-central PA could see some snowflakes Saturday. Nothing unusual for October 22.
A much more typical late October pattern will settle in for next week with lots of days with highs near average. Models:
2 DEGREE GUARANTEE
We are about TWO weeks away from the issuance of my Winter 2016-2017 forecast. Stay tuned for an exact date!
WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS:
The Valley’s most detailed weather forecast is “Weather For Weather Geeks”! This evening’s video will be on ericwfmj.com and wfmj.com/weather as well as the StormTracker app by 8:00pm.
STORM TRACKER 21 STORM SPOTTERS
Interested in joining our closed spotter group on Facebook?? We prefer you be SKYWARN trained but some exceptions can be made. This group is a place to report severe weather or just chat about interesting weather across our region. Fill out this form if interested!
21 STORMTRACKER WEATHER APP
Head to your favorite app store and get the Valley’s most accurate forecast in your pocket!