Thursday (9/29) Morning Weather Briefing

GOOD MORNING TO YA,

Well we need the rain. As expected, a couple of unsettled days on the way for eastern Ohio and western PA. Rainfall totals of 0.25″-0.50″ have been fairly common over the last 24 hours:

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Early this morning the radar showed spotty showers but a lack of “steady” rain (unlike in central and eastern PA):

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I think that’s the way it will go for much of the morning and afternoon: hit/miss showers but plenty of dry intervals. Rain chances will increase toward dinnertime, as shown by our high-resolution short-term modeling:

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Even the high-res models are going to struggle with the placement of the bands of rain over the next couple of days. We have to avoid taking them verbatim and instead paying attention to the general nature of what it is depicting. And that means a higher chance for widespread rain by this evening.

Temperatures will struggle today, staying in the 60s s all day.

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A fairly similar day Friday, plenty of dry intervals but a good chance for passing rain/showers. Plan on grabbing the poncho for high school football.

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The NWS forecast of an average of 1.5″ of rain seems reasonable. Some will get quite a bit less, some could get a little more. A good drink of water.

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WEEKEND IMPROVEMENT

The improvement will be slow but it will come. Saturday can still bring spotty showers but also some intervals of sunshine. I think Sunday is largely dry and pleasant as the cut-off low finally starts to move out of the region.

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LONG RANGE

Still on track for a period of well above-average temperatures next week.

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2 DEGREE GUARANTEE

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WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS: 

The Valley’s most detailed weather forecast is “Weather For Weather Geeks”! This evening’s video will be on ericwfmj.com and wfmj.com/weather as well as the StormTracker app by 8:00pm.

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