MONDAY (7/11) MORNING WEATHER BRIEFING

GOOD MORNING!

Hope your weekend was excellent. The weather sure was! We had a nice comfortable start to the day today but that’s the last time we will say that for a while. The next couple of weeks will be pretty consistently very warm/hot. The heart of summer!

A sunny one today with a warmer afternoon; highs in the mid 80s. Dewpoints stay fairly low for one more day so the humidity will not be a real issue today.

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MIDWEEK HEAT!

Temperatures will flirt with 90 degrees both Tuesday and Wednesday with an uptick in the dewpoints as well. By Wednesday afternoon heat index values will be in the lower 90s. There is a small chance for an afternoon thunderstorm Wednesday.

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UNSETTLED AT THE END OF WEEK

A sluggish cold front will limp east Thursday into Friday and that means a couple of unsettled days for eastern Ohio and western PA. A few round of showers and storms each day. Any storm could be on the strong side, especially Thursday.

THURSFRIDAY

BRING ON THE RAIN

No secret….we need rain. It’s been quite dry since early May. 60 day precipitation departures from average:

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At most official climate sites across the region rain totals have been 50-75% of average over the last 60 days and of course in some locations the deficits are even larger.

Over the next 10 days, I DO think we will see more frequent rains but how much is a tough call. The GFS suggests 1.5″-2″ will be a good average:

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The European model is more stingy with 1″ or so”:

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LONG RANGE

The pattern in the 7-14 day period looks very hot in the middle of the country. The Valley will reside on the “edge” of this heat dome…meaning we won’t see temperatures in the upper 90s or anything but some 90-95 degree days will be possible. This pattern will also produce clusters of storms on the northern periphery of the ridge and these will tend to track SE. “Ridge runners” is what we call these sometimes. It means chances for rain but also severe weather for us.

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WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS: 

The Valley’s most detailed weather forecast is “Weather For Weather Geeks”! This evening’s video will be on ericwfmj.com and wfmj.com/weather as well as the StormTracker app by 8:00pm.

STORM TRACKER 21 STORM SPOTTERS

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Interested in joining our closed spotter group on Facebook?? We prefer you be SKYWARN trained but some exceptions can be made. This group is a place to report severe weather or just chat about interesting weather across our region. Fill out this form if interested!

Storm Tracker 21 Spotter Sign Up Sheet

 21 STORMTRACKER WEATHER APP

Head to your favorite app store and get the Valley’s most accurate forecast in your pocket!

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