BLOG: SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FRIDAY

Good morning…

We’ll get a break from the storms today….for the most part. Only a small chance for a pop up storm this afternoon and early this evening. 15 hour futurecast:

hrrr_2016070711_ref_cleveland.gif

On to Friday.

A cold front will approach from the west and the air mass ahead of it will be very warm and humid once again. While the setup for severe weather (large hail, damaging winds) is not super impressive, things may still get pretty active.

The Storm Prediction Center has placed us in the “Slight Risk” area (yellow):

day2

understanding_categories

THREATS

The #1 threat from the strongest storms would be damaging wind gusts. Hail will be possible in the strongest storms but unlikely in any “run-of-the-mill” action. The threat for a tornado is quite minimal. Street and highway flooding and flooding in areas of poor drainage can’t be ruled out but should not be a major issue.

Severe Threat Bars.png

TIMING

This is tricky. Most of our models show a couple of opportunities for showers and storms, even as early as mid-morning. The “outflow” from the rain can cause little pockets of cool air around that can act as a trigger for additional action. While it may rain at almost any point, the highest risk for SEVERE weather is probably after 2pm.

9am simulated radar (NAM model):

9am.png

5pm:

5pm.png

Remember that lightning is ALWAYS dangerous, severe thunderstorm or not. Make sure you have downloaded the Storm Tracker 21 app!

 

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2 thoughts on “BLOG: SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FRIDAY

  1. How strong were the winds July 6th th along the Glenwood Ave./Indianola Ave. area that brought down trees?

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