A couple of active days in our viewing area Sunday and Monday, especially north of I-80. Strong thunderstorms roared across Trumbull and Mercer counties Monday evening, causing tree and power line damage. A look at the wind damage reports called into the National Weather Service:
Thankfully, today will be a calmer day. We are still under the influence of a deep trough of low pressure over southeastern Canada and that means the atmosphere can become a little unstable again this afternoon. A pop-up shower or thundershower is possible but it’s only about a 20-30% chance kind of a thing. 15 hour futurecast:
It will be a cool, comfortable day today with highs only in the upper 60s to near 70.
Lows tonight will be in the 40s…keep those windows cracked! Great summer sleeping weather.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY: NICE!
As that trough pulls away and high pressure at the surface noses eastward, our weather will be quite nice Wednesday and Thursday. It won’t be pool weather with highs 65-70, but otherwise….enjoy a refreshing May-like air mass.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
Small chance for a shower Friday…no big deal. Saturday though….this could be an active day for the region, especially in the afternoon and evening. The atmosphere will turn moist and unstable ahead of a fairly strong low pressure system and cold front. Convective Available Potential Energy (“CAPE”), a measure of instability, is shown to be quite high Saturday afternoon.
The Storm Prediction Center already has the area outlined for potential severe weather, which is somewhat rare this far out (day 5).
So this is obviously something we will be keeping a close eye on in the coming days.
We’ll transition back into a warm pattern for a while next week after some ups and downs over the next seven days.
WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS:
The Valley’s most detailed weather forecast is “Weather For Weather Geeks”! This evening’s video will be on ericwfmj.com and wfmj.com/weather as well as the StormTracker app by 8:00pm.
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