MONDAY MAY 8 MORNING WEATHER BRIEFING

GOOD MORNING!

A nice sunny Mother’s Day and the new work week is starting with some sunshine as well.

BUT, the radar at 8:20am is a little concerning, right?

820rad

Well this is a bit deceiving. A lot of the rain is not reaching the ground north of I-70. There is a lot of DRY air in the lowest few thousand feet of the atmosphere so the rain evaporates on the way down.

You can see the dry air when looking at a vertical profile of the atmosphere (a “sounding”). The sounding for Youngstown early this afternoon shows a large spread in the green (dewpoint) and res (temperature) lines, indicating the air is quite dry.

SOUNDING

The HRRR model simulated radar shows some of the precipitation trying to work in around midday today. Aside from a sprinkle, I am not expecting any rain…just an increase in clouds.

hrrr_2016050910_ref_cleveland.gif

Highs today will be just a shade below average.

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MIDWEEK: UNSETTLED

Tuesday through Thursday will be the unsettled part of the week although none of those days should be a “washout”. We look for a couple of showers Tuesday; thunder is not very likely.

TUES.png

Wednesday will bring a better chance for thunder as more humid air arrives. Notice the “CAPE” a measure of instability, gets pretty high in the afternoon:

CAPEWEDS.png

WEDS.png

Thursday is the day with the best chance for stronger storms, depending on the timing of the arrival of the next front. If the front approaches late in the afternoon, some storms could be feisty.

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DRYING OUT FRIDAY

The front sweeps east of Friday does not look bad.

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LONG RANGE

A chilly weekend on the way with showers pretty likely on Saturday. Sunday looks cool but largely dry. A warming trend next week.

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WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS: 

The Valley’s most detailed weather forecast is “Weather For Weather Geeks”! This evening’s video will be on ericwfmj.com and wfmj.com/weather as well as the StormTracker app by 8:00pm.

STORM TRACKER 21 STORM SPOTTERS

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Interested in joining our closed spotter group on Facebook?? We prefer you be SKYWARN trained but some exceptions can be made. This group is a place to report severe weather or just chat about interesting weather across our region. Fill out this form if interested!

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Head to your favorite app store and get the Valley’s most accurate forecast in your pocket!

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