It’s a lovely morning….if you are a duck. It’s been pouring for since around 4am on average. Radar at 9:02am:
Rain totals are exceeding 3/4″ of an inch already in much of the region.
We can expect a storm total rainfall of 1-1.5″ by tonight.
Simulated radars for the mid-Atlantic region and our local area:
We can see breaks in the rain this afternoon and evening but there will be spotty showers around. There is a small chance for a rumble of thunder. The chance for thunderstorms is higher to our south:
The Gulf Coast got rocked by severe weather yesterday and last night and today the mid-Atlantic region down to the Carolinas is under the gun.
With the dry slot moving overhead this afternoon, temperatures can shoot up into the 50s once again.
BACK TO WINTER (BRIEFLY)
We expect that colder air on the back side of the storm to move overhead tomorrow and we will see a changeover to snow during the morning. Snow showers will be here off and on through Thursday evening before tapering to just flurries later Thursday night.
Snow amounts will not be all that impressive. Here’s the map I issued last evening and it looks generally fine this morning:
In general, an inch or two inches of wet snow will about do it. 3-4″ may be generous in the northern part of the viewing area but I can’t rule it out either. As far as impacts….with temperatures above freezing for most of the daylight hours Thursday I would expect most roads to just be wet. Surfaces are warm after this mild spell and it’s hard to get snow to stick on pavement in late February during the day unless it is really coming down hard (thanks to increasing sun strength). Roads can turn slick after sunset Thursday but I am not expecting problems for Friday morning.
A GREAT WEEKEND
After a cold Friday (20s), we should be back in the 40s Saturday and 50s Sunday. Another nice weekend in February!
The next front probably arrives on Monday with a chance for rain and snow.
WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS:
The Valley’s most detailed weather forecast is “Weather For Weather Geeks”! This evening’s video will recap the day’s rain, take a fresh look at tomorrow’s snow and we’ll do an extensive long-range outlook. Weather For Weather Geeks will be on ericwfmj.com and wfmj.com/weather as well as the WFMJ app by 8:00pm.
2 DEGREE GUARANTEE
Yesterday was sunnier than I thought it would be and so it got warmer than I thought. Was a great day (aside from the forecast bust)
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