Good morning and welcome to (astronomical) winter. Starting tomorrow….longer days!
A quick review of Autumn…..it was warm! No shocker there. In fact it was the 2nd warmest Autumn on record in Youngstown.
Today started with a soaking rain across the region. The radar around 8:00 am was lit up with downpours:
Rain totals over the last 24 hours are near an inch in parts of the region:
The rain comes with a moisture plume that is pretty unusual for December. Dewpoints are in the 50s and it feels “humid” for this time of the year.
The rain will clear out around midday today and we can even get some sun this afternoon.
Highs will be in the middle and upper 50s….almost 25 degrees above average. And we are just getting started.
As the anomalous air mass continue streaming north, showers will break out again Wednesday, especially in the morning and midday hours. This simulated radar off the NAM model takes us from this morning through Thursday morning:
We can’t even rule out a thunderstorm Wednesday and there is a pretty decent risk of severe weather to our south.
Highs on Wednesday can get into record territory (current record is 61).
The models have been speeding up the progress of a cold front on Thursday and this means showers will probably clear out pretty quickly in the morning. Thursday morning will be remarkably warm and we may actually be near the record of 63 EARLY in the day. Temperatures will kind of level out between 58-62 from there…will be a nice afternoon!
The best day of the bunch! It will be “cooler” but still well above average with some sunshine.
Back to rain. Front will get hung up around the region and the weekend may be a borderline washout. Still mild…especially Saturday.
Pattern will evolve into one featuring a ridge along the West Coast and a weak trough over the Great Lakes. This will promote much more “reasonable”, seasonable weather for us as we ring in the new year. Not harsh cold but much closer to average. This pattern is not likely to dominate January though…we expect a warmer-than-average month overall.
Thanks for reading and Merry Christmas to you and yours! The daily briefings will return on Monday.