MONDAY WEATHER BRIEFING

Good Monday morning!

A little more seasonable Sunday with highs in the lower 40s, but with one day to go we are still on track to have one of the warmest Novembers on record in Youngstown. Right now 2015 is in 3rd place but we will see if today’s final numbers put us back in 2nd. Probably not since this morning was pretty cold. Notice how frequent warm Novembers have been lately.

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Today, we look for quiet weather with a good deal of sunshine. Highs go back above average.

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Meanwhile, an upper low is spinning out west and it will drop a blanket of snow in the High Plains today before tracking our way tonight and tomorrow.

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TUESDAY: 

Rain should be pretty “showery” in nature….in other words it will come and go. Despite a good chance for rain drops it will be mild high with highs in the mid 50s.

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WEDNESDAY: 

A dry slot will punch in behind the front Wednesday, leading to quiet weather with temperatures will above average (just not as warm as Tuesday).

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Notice the blue off to the west….as a cold pool of air aloft pushes overhead Wednesday night, some flurries or snow showers can occur. We do not expect much in the way of accumulation with temperatures near or above freezing.

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LATE WEEK/WEEKEND: 

Not much to talk about in the medium range….it looks quiet with moderating temperatures.

There is NO sign of Winter in the long range.

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WEDNESDAY WEATHER BRIEFING

Good morning and happy Thanksgiving Eve…..

We’ll enjoy a beautiful late Fall day today with plenty of sunshine and highs reaching the lower and perhaps even middle 50s.

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On this busy travel day across the country, we expect no weather-related problems east of the Rockies. All the trouble is out west, where snow blanket the Rocky Mountain states.

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THANKSGIVING DAY: 

Much to be thankful for weather-wise this year. A very mild air mass will be in place and although it will be cloudier than today….no rain is in the forecast. Highs in the mid 50s. 57-58 degrees is not out of the question.

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FRIDAY: 

The dry forecast for holiday shoppers is still on track Friday morning but showers will push in by early to mid afternoon along a cold front.

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WEEKEND: 

Saturday is likely to start with clouds but they can thin out for the midday and afternoon. It will be a more seasonable day behind the front with highs in the 40s.

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Notice that our cold front will have stalled to our south by Saturday afternoon and evening. The forecast gets tricky for Sunday into early next week as there may be a wave of low pressure dragging that front back north and providing our region with some rain. Believe it or not part of the challenge is determining what happens to the remnants of what is now Hurricane Sandra in the Pacific. Current forecast rack:

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The remnants of Sandra will be at least partly responsible for dragging that front back north but the question is: how far north? The models are having a tough time. Yesterday it seemed apparent that rain would return to the Valley Sunday and even into Monday. Today: a drier look. Tough forecasts.

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LONG RANGE: 

After the dust settles on the early week forecast headaches, it seems apparent that a cold front will roll through later next week and a return to chilly (but not super cold) weather will result. No arctic outbreaks are coming in the foreseeable future and December is likely to be very mild (compared to the averages).

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2 DEGREES GUARANTEE: 

We took one on the chin Tuesday and there was more morning and midday sunshine than expected. That one hurt but it’s always nice when the forecast busts but it’s a nice day.

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THIS DATE IN WEATHER HISTORY: 

The Appalachian Blizzard of 1950 was raging on this date 65 years ago. When the storm finally faded, the Valley had picked up 25 inches or more of snow with huge drifts. Certainly one of the most famous storms in our region’s history.

WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS: 

The Valley’s most detailed weather video will go online this evening between 7:30-8:00. We’ll geek out to the latest computer model ideas for early next week and examine how the pattern is evolving compared to other strong El Nino years. You may be surprised how different November has been compared to other years with powerful El Ninos.

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TUESDAY WEATHER BRIEFING

Good morning!

After the coldest day in 7 months yesterday (high: 37) today will be a bit warmer but only by a few degrees. With times of clouds and sun, expect an afternoon high near 40.

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WEDNESDAY/TRAVEL WEATHER: 

We still expect a nice warm up with dry weather for the busy day-before-Thanksgiving. Nationally, the most unsettled weather will  be in the Rockies and northern Plains. No weather-related delays expected in the East and South.

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Locally, a nice southwest wind will develop, resulting in afternoon temperatures about 10 degrees warmer than today.

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THANKSGIVING: 

Enjoy! A mild day with a mix of sun and clouds. Highs in the mid 50s.

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FRIDAY: 

Dry and mild for early morning shoppers. Rain chances will increase during the midday and afternoon as a cold front heads or way.

 

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WEEKEND: 

We’ll dry out Saturday but it will be colder with highs in the lower 40s.

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Another busy day for travelers Sunday. Tough forecast  at this point as our models are not in great agreement. GFS (shown) says rain will push back in. Other models have a dry look. Stay tuned.

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LONG RANGE: 

A chilly pattern for early December but there are no signs of any harsh cold.

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2 DEGREES GUARANTEE: 

Sunday is not our day this month…..but yesterday we got back on track. I smell a new winning streak starting!

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THIS DATE IN WEATHER HISTORY: 

On this date in 1950 the region was was being impacted by one of the most famous storms in Ohio history. A snow storm got underway in Youngstown and by the following day we had 26″ on the ground.

WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS: 

The Valley’s most detailed weather video will go online this evening between 7:30-8:00. Tonight’s video will examine the computer model challenges with the weekend forecast as well as the pattern that will produce early December chill.

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MONDAY WEATHER BRIEFING

Good Monday morning!

Thanksgiving week is here and there is plenty of good news in the weather department…especially later in the week.

This morning was cold with lows near 20 in some places. Today’s highs will be about 8-10 degrees below average:

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Meanwhile, a weak disturbance will cross the Great Lakes today, resulting in some light snow or flurries in parts of NE Ohio and NW PA this afternoon. 15 hour futurecast:

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This snow will not add up to much expect where there will be some lake-enhancement in NW PA. No accumulation expected for our viewing area.

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TUESDAY:

A tranquil day with increasing amounts of sunshine. There might be a stray morning flurry. Will still be chilly with highs in the upper 30s to near 40.

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WEDNESDAY/HOLIDAY TRAVEL: 

Wednesday is the busiest (or  one of the busiest) travel days of the year. Locally, it will be a pleasant day with milder afternoon temperatures.

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If you or loved ones are travelling Wednesday, just about all the weather-related travel issues will be out west. Lots of snow in the Rockies and some rain in California.

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THANKSGIVING DAY: 

A beautiful day with a mix of sun and clouds. Highs in the mid 50s….nice!

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FRIDAY: 

A cold front will push into the region Friday….showers are most likely in the afternoon and evening. So if you are out in the wee hours of the morning shopping…..probably no need for the wet weather gear. Early morning temperatures will be in the 40s (not bad!) and afternoon highs can reach 60 or so.

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LONG RANGE: 

In the wake of Friday’s front, the rest of the holiday weekend will be colder and largely dry. The colder air looks to stick around into early December.

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THIS DATE IN WEATHER HISTORY: 

On this date 10 years ago, we had a cold and wintry day with 1.8″ of snow and a high of just 32.

 

WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS: 

The Valley’s most detailed weather video will go online this evening between 7:30-8:00. Tonight we will go into more detail about the Thanksgiving week forecast and have a look at a cold weather pattern to start the month of December. Could the first week of December be the coldest part of the whole month?

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