Good morning and happy Thanksgiving Eve…..
We’ll enjoy a beautiful late Fall day today with plenty of sunshine and highs reaching the lower and perhaps even middle 50s.
On this busy travel day across the country, we expect no weather-related problems east of the Rockies. All the trouble is out west, where snow blanket the Rocky Mountain states.
Much to be thankful for weather-wise this year. A very mild air mass will be in place and although it will be cloudier than today….no rain is in the forecast. Highs in the mid 50s. 57-58 degrees is not out of the question.
The dry forecast for holiday shoppers is still on track Friday morning but showers will push in by early to mid afternoon along a cold front.
Saturday is likely to start with clouds but they can thin out for the midday and afternoon. It will be a more seasonable day behind the front with highs in the 40s.
Notice that our cold front will have stalled to our south by Saturday afternoon and evening. The forecast gets tricky for Sunday into early next week as there may be a wave of low pressure dragging that front back north and providing our region with some rain. Believe it or not part of the challenge is determining what happens to the remnants of what is now Hurricane Sandra in the Pacific. Current forecast rack:
The remnants of Sandra will be at least partly responsible for dragging that front back north but the question is: how far north? The models are having a tough time. Yesterday it seemed apparent that rain would return to the Valley Sunday and even into Monday. Today: a drier look. Tough forecasts.
After the dust settles on the early week forecast headaches, it seems apparent that a cold front will roll through later next week and a return to chilly (but not super cold) weather will result. No arctic outbreaks are coming in the foreseeable future and December is likely to be very mild (compared to the averages).
2 DEGREES GUARANTEE:
We took one on the chin Tuesday and there was more morning and midday sunshine than expected. That one hurt but it’s always nice when the forecast busts but it’s a nice day.
THIS DATE IN WEATHER HISTORY:
The Appalachian Blizzard of 1950 was raging on this date 65 years ago. When the storm finally faded, the Valley had picked up 25 inches or more of snow with huge drifts. Certainly one of the most famous storms in our region’s history.
WEATHER FOR WEATHER GEEKS:
The Valley’s most detailed weather video will go online this evening between 7:30-8:00. We’ll geek out to the latest computer model ideas for early next week and examine how the pattern is evolving compared to other strong El Nino years. You may be surprised how different November has been compared to other years with powerful El Ninos.