WEDNESDAY WEATHER BRIEFING

(Click images to enlarge)

Good morning!

Some beneficial rain across the region although some places in PA had a bit too much.

2DAY

Some leftover drizzle out there this morning; the balance of the day will just be cloudy, cool, breezy and less humid. Temperatures will only rise a couple of degrees today.

This is a true Fall air mass sliding through the Midwest.

8ATEMPS

Meanwhile, Joaquin is now a hurricane. More on Joaquin in a minute. Current view of the storm:

TROPSAT

THURSDAY: 

An uneventful day for us with clouds, some sun and cool temperatures.

ndfd_t2max_cleveland_2

FRIDAY: 

This is when things get interesting for the East Coast and the Appalachians as tropical moisture gets thrown up and over a stalled front. Heavy rain will break out. For us, a pretty cloudy and cool day but not much more than a shower. We should be in decent shape for football Friday evening….just typical October chill.

frievegfs

WEEKEND: 

A wild and potentially dangerous situation for many to our east. Even if Joaquin does not make a landfall, soaking rains will lead to a big flood risk along the East Coast and back into the mountains.

QPF

The current NHC cone for Joaquin is pretty wide, showing continued uncertainty.

114425W_sm

That said, the cone has shifted west since last night, reflecting the trends in the models. The GFS has a scary situation:

SUNGFS

WHAT ABOUT *OUR* WEATHER??

Ok, back to what this means for us. Independent of what Joaquin may do, Saturday is likely to be a blustery, cold and rainy day. The rain is not likely to be heavy but….yick.

SATGFS

Highs might only be 50-54.

On Sunday, the forecast is more dependent on what Joaquin does. If the GFS idea shown above is right, we may have a windy and rainy afternoon/evening/night. If Joaquin stays out to sea, we still may see showers but it would be less rain and wind.

Stay tuned!

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