MONDAY WEATHER BRIEFING

(Click images to enlarge)

Good morning!

Breaking news! It rained last night and will rain some more this week!

45a

Some places picked up a tenth of an inch or so last night:

DMARain

Expect a few more bouts of light rain or drizzle today, especially through midday. 15 hour futurecast:

hrrr_2015092810_ref_cleveland

Highs today will be on the mild side.

ndfd_t2max_cleveland_1

TUESDAY: 

A cold front will slide into the region and there can be showers just about anytime. Outside chance for thunder as well. It will also be the last warmer-than-average day of the week.

tues

WEDNESDAY: 

This is where the forecast starts to get tricky. The GFS (shown below) would have you believe the front will be a “clean sweep”, pushing east of the region and taking the rain away. The European, NAM and Canadian models form a wave of low pressure on the front earlier, slowing it down and keeping the moisture around for much of Wednesday….especially south and east of Youngstown.

weds

I lean in the slower direction and think we might need to allow for a little rain Wednesday.

REST OF THE WEEK/WEEKEND: 

Confidence is lower than average for this time frame as the models are all over the place. On the table:

1) A dry period Thursday through Sunday.

2) Lingering showers Thursday and Friday….perhaps into Saturday morning.

3) High temperatures that could range from 55-65, depending on if the clouds and moisture linger. Stay tuned.

LONG RANGE: 

A cool-ish pattern looks to settle in but these temperatures are actually pretty close to average for the first half of October.

16daygfs

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