With my attention focused on the weekend (non)storm, I did not get a chance to do a recap of Meteorological Winter over the weekend. Meteorological Winter is the 3 coldest months of the year (Dec-Feb). This is different than Astronomical Winter, which is based on the Earth’s position in it’s orbit around the Sun and runs from about Dec 21/22-March 21/22 each year.
Of course, the headline of this winter is “IT’S BEEN COLD AND SNOWY!!”. But let’s take a deep dive into the numbers to see HOW cold and snowy it has been.
Speaking of snow, it of course was one of the snowiest December-February periods on record here. The list:
Notice the top 6 are ALL recent years! WHY is that? I am not sure but it’s interesting and merits some investigating!
Back to temperatures. For Meteorological Winter, this will go down as the 10th coldest season on record:
Add one more to this year, as it will only be in the 20s this afternoon. Put another way…since our first sub-freezing high on November 24, 55% of days have featured a high below freezing in Youngstown.
Is there relief in sight? We will bust into an early Spring?
While it is unlikely that the kind of harsh, record-breaking cold that we have had over the last 24 hours will return…temperatures should generally be below average for the foreseeable future. There will be the occasional mild day, but they will be few and far between. The latest GFS Ensemble model temperature outlook for days 8-16:
After that, the CFS (Climate Forecast System) outlook isn’t great either. March 18-28:
Wish I had better news! But thanks for reading anyway.