First, since December is half over, let’s review how the month is going so far. Obviously, it’s been cold and snowy! And we are not alone in that. Take a look at the temperature “departure from average” map for the country through December 15:
Officially at the Youngstown-Warren airport, there has been a foot of snow so far this month. How does this compare to past early Decembers? Well 2010 blows everything away, but this has been the 10th snowiest open to December since 1930:
Saturday’s storm behave pretty much as expected. The “mild” air got a bit farther north than originally expected, leading to some light rain/drizzle late in the day in many places. Snowfall totals ranged from an inch or two in southern Columbiana County to 4-5″ or so in much of Mahoning, Trumbull and Mercer counties. Current snow cover map shows the lower snow totals in southeastern Columbiana County:
How about this week? Well, 2 separate “clipper” systems will track our way tonight and Tuesday…each bringing a fluffy inch or two to the Valley. Here’s the simulated radar at midnight tonight:
After a lull Tuesday morning, the second system will move through in the afternoon. Here’s what the radar should look like at 1:00pm:
Watch for slick spots early Tuesday morning and again at the end of the afternoon.
It looks like it will warm up and rain at the end of this week. This will do a number on our snow pack. Check out the expected change from Tuesday evening to Saturday morning:
So, is the possibility of s White Christmas in jeopardy? I would say so. It does not (at this point) look like there will be much new snow early next week. It’s far enough out that much can change, so stay tuned. The GFS and European computer models have a tranquil looking Christmas morning overall (although the GFS does have some snow showers/flurries):
A guess on high temperatures on Christmas Day: Somewhere in the lower to middle 30s. Stay tuned as I am sure there will be adjustments to that forecast!
Thanks for reading,